Econometrica
Forthcoming Articles

The following papers have been accepted and will appear in future issues of Econometrica. The links below lead to the final accepted papers in their working paper formats. The papers will be copyedited and typeset for publication.

Preferences for Truth-telling
Abeler, Johannes, Daniele Nosenzo, and Collin Raymond
Supplement to "Preferences for Truth-telling"

Inference in Group Factor Models with an Application to Mixed Frequency Data
Andreou, Elena, Patrick Gagliardini, Eric Ghysels, and Mirco Rubin
Supplement to "Inference in Group Factor Models with an Application to Mixed Frequency Data"

Diversity and Conflict
Arbatli, Cemal Eren, Quamrul H. Ashraf, Oded Galor, and Marc Klemp
Supplement to "Diversity and Conflict" Supplement to "Diversity and Conflict"

Endowments, Exclusion, and Exchange
Balbuzanov, Ivan, and Maciej H. Kotowski

The Macroeconomic Impact of Microeconomic Shocks: Beyond Hulten’s Theorem
Baqaee, David Rezza, and Emmanuel Farhi
Supplement to "The Macroeconomic Impact of Microeconomic Shocks: Beyond Hulten’s Theorem" Supplement to "The Macroeconomic Impact of Microeconomic Shocks: Beyond Hulten’s Theorem"

The Aggregate Implications of Regional Business Cycles
Beraja, Martin, Erik Hurst, and Juan Ospina
Supplement to "The Aggregate Implications of Regional Business Cycles" Supplement to "The Aggregate Implications of Regional Business Cycles"

Strategically Simple Mechanisms
Börgers, Tilman, and Jiangtao Li
Supplement to "Strategically Simple Mechanisms"

Strategic Communication with Minimal Verification
Carroll, Gabriel, and Georgy Egorov

Exclusion Restrictions in Dynamic Binary Choice Panel Data Models
Chen, Songnian, Shakeeb Khan and Xun Tang

Equivalence of Stochastic and Deterministic Mechanisms
Chen, Yi-Chun, Wei He, Jiangtao Li, and Yeneng Sun
Supplement to "Equivalence of Stochastic and Deterministic Mechanisms"

Dynamic Quantile Models of Rational Behavior
de Castro Luciano, and Antonio F. Galvao

Trading Networks with Frictions
Fleiner, Tamás, Ravi Jagadeesan, Zsuzsanna Jankó, and Alexander Teytelboym
Supplement to "Trading Networks with Frictions"

Dynamic Random Utility
Frick, Mira, Ryota Iijima, and Tomasz Strzalecki
Supplement to "Dynamic Random Utility"

Bargaining Under Strategic Uncertainty: The Role of Second-Order Optimism
Friedenberg, Amanda
Supplement to "Bargaining Under Strategic Uncertainty: The Role of Second-Order Optimism"

How Destructive is Innovation?
Garcia-Macia, Daniel, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Peter J. Klenow
Supplement to "How Destructive is Innovation?"

Measuring Group Differences in High-Dimensional Choices: Method and Application to Congressional Speech
Gentzkow, Matthew, Jesse M. Shapiro, and Matt Taddy
Supplement to "Measuring Group Differences in High-Dimensional Choices: Method and Application to Congressional Speech"

An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic
Greenwood, Jeremy, Philipp Kircher, Cezar Santos, and Michèle Tertilt
Supplement to "An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic" Supplement to "An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic"

Linear Voting Rules
Grüner, Hans Peter, and Thomas Tröger
Supplement to "Linear Voting Rules"

Market Selection with Differential Financial Constraints
Guerdjikova, Ani, and John Quiggin

A Non-Bayesian Theory of State-Dependent Utility
Hill, Brian

Retirement Financing: An Optimal Reform Approach
Hosseini, Roozbeh, and Ali Shourideh
Supplement to "Retirement Financing: An Optimal Reform Approach" Supplement to "Retirement Financing: An Optimal Reform Approach"

The Allocation of Talent and U.S. Economic Growth
Hsieh, Chang-Tai, Erik Hurst, Charles I. Jones, and Peter J. Klenow
Supplement to "The Allocation of Talent and U.S. Economic Growth" Supplement to "The Allocation of Talent and U.S. Economic Growth"

Valuing Peace: The Effects of Financial Market Exposure on Votes and Political Attitudes
Jha, Saumitra, and Moses Shayo
Supplement to "Valuing Peace: The Effects of Financial Market Exposure on Votes and Political Attitudes" Supplement to "Valuing Peace: The Effects of Financial Market Exposure on Votes and Political Attitudes"

Fixed-Effect Regressions on Network Data
Jochmans, Koen, and Martin Weidner
Supplement to "Fixed-Effect Regressions on Network Data" Supplement to "Fixed-Effect Regressions on Network Data"

Confidence Intervals for Projections of Partially Identified Parameters
Kaido, Hiroaki, Francesca Molinari, and Jörg Stoye
Supplement to "Confidence Intervals for Projections of Partially Identified Parameters"

Strong duality in monopoly pricing
Kleiner, Andreas, and Alejandro Manelli

Forecasting with Dynamic Panel Data Models
Liu, Laura, Hyungsik Roger Moon, and Frank Schorfheide
Supplement to "Forecasting with Dynamic Panel Data Models" Supplement to "Forecasting with Dynamic Panel Data Models"

Recursive Contracts
Marcet, Albert, and Ramon Marimon

Maximality in the Farsighted Stable Set
Ray, Debraj, and Rajiv Vohra
Supplement to "Maximality in the Farsighted Stable Set"

On the Efficiency of Social Learning
Rosenberg, Dinah, and Nicolas Vieille
Supplement to "On the Efficiency of Social Learning"

Nonparametric Inference on State Dependence in Unemployment
Torgovitsky, Alexander
Supplement to "Nonparametric Inference on State Dependence in Unemployment" Supplement to "Nonparametric Inference on State Dependence in Unemployment"

Pricing and Liquidity in Decentralized Asset Markets
Üslü, Semih
Supplement to "Pricing and Liquidity in Decentralized Asset Markets"