Econometrica
Forthcoming Articles

The following papers have been accepted and will appear in future issues of Econometrica. The links below lead to the final accepted papers in their working paper formats. The papers will be copyedited and typeset for publication.


Tasks, Automation, and the Rise in US Wage Inequality

Acemoglu, Daron, and Pascual Restrepo

Misallocation, Selection and Productivity: A Quantitative Analysis with Panel Data from China

Adamopoulos, Tasso, Loren Brandt, Jessica Leight, and Diego Restuccia

Optimal Taxation of Income-Generating Choice

Ales, Laurence, and Christopher Sleet

Volatility and the Gains from Trade

Allen, Treb, and David Atkin

The Analytic Theory of a Monetary Shock

Alvarez, Fernando, and Francesco Lippi

(S)Cars and the Great Recession

Attanasio, Orazio, Kieran Larkin, Morten O. Ravn, and Mario Padula

Testing for Differences in Stochastic Network Structure

Auerbach, Eric

Randomize at your own Risk: on the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion

Baillon, Aurélien, Yoram Halevy and Chen Li

Comment on Jackson and Sonnenschein (2007) “Overcoming Incentive Constraints by Linking Decisions”

Ball, Ian, Matthew O. Jackson, and Deniz Kattwinkel

Determination of Pareto exponents in economic models driven by Markov multiplicative processes

Beare, Brendan K., and Alexis Akira Toda

Firm and Worker Dynamics in a Frictional Labor Market

Bilal, Adrien, Niklas Engbom, Simon Mongey, and Giovanni L. Violante

A Comment on “Using Randomization to Break the Curse of Dimensionality”

Bray, Robert L.

The Effect of Job Loss and Unemployment Insurance on Crime in Brazil

Britto, Diogo G. C., Paolo Pinotti, and Breno Sampaio

Information Hierarchies

Brooks, Benjamin, Alexander Frankel, and Emir Kamenica

Gender Differences in Peer Recognition by Economists

Card, David, Stefano DellaVigna, Patricia Funk, and Nagore Iriberri

Comment on Andrews (1991) "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation"

Casini, Alessandro

Dual-self representations of ambiguity preferences

Chandrasekher, Madhav, Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima, and Yves Le Yaouanq

Signaling under Double-Crossing Preferences

Chen, Chia-Hui, Junichiro Ishida and Wing Suen

Locally Robust Semiparametric Estimation

Chernozhukov, Victor, Juan Carlos Escanciano, Hidehiko Ichimura, Whitney K. Newey, and James M. Robins

Automatic Debiased Machine Learning of Causal and Structural Effects

Chernozhukov, Victor, Whitney Newey and Rahul Singh

Robust Incentives for Teams

Dai, Tianjiao, and Juuso Toikka

Beyond Health: Non-Health Risk and the Value of Disability Insurance

Deshpande, Manasi, and Lee M. Lockwood

Mechanism Design with Limited Commitment

Doval, Laura, and Vasiliki Skreta

Preparing for the Worst But Hoping for the Best: Robust (Bayesian) Persuasion

Dworczak, Piotr, and Alessandro Pavan

Job Search Behavior among the Employed and Non-Employed

Faberman, R. Jason, Andreas I. Mueller, Ayşegül Şahin, and Giorgio Topa

Managers and Productivity in the Public Sector

Fenizia, Alessandra

Rules and Commitment in Communication: An Experimental Analysis

Fréchette, Guillaume R., Alessandro Lizzeri and Jacopo Perego

Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Limited Enforcement

Halac, Marina, and Pierre Yared

A Modern Gauss-Markov Theorem

Hansen, Bruce E.

From Population Growth to Firm Demographics: Implications for Concentration, Entrepreneurship and the Labor Share

Hopenhayn, Hugo, Julian Neira, and Rish Singhania

Household Leverage and the Recession

Jones, Callum, Virgiliu Midrigan, and Thomas Philippon

Monetary Policy, Redistribution, and Risk Premia

Kekre, Rohan, and Moritz Lenel

From Imitation to Innovation: Where Is all that Chinese R&D Going?

König, Michael, Kjetil Storesletten, Zheng Song and Fabrizio Zilibotti

The Limits of onetary Economics: On Money as a Constraint on Market Power

Lagos, Ricardo and Shengxing Zhang

Optimal Monetary Policy in Production Networks

La’O, Jennifer, and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

Terrorism Financing, Recruitment and Attacks

Limodio, Nicola

Experimentation and Approval Mechanisms

McClellan, Andrew

Adaptive Bayesian Estimation of Discrete-Continuous Distributions under Smoothness and Sparsity

Norets, Andriy, and Justinas Pelenis

Test Design under Falsification

Perez-Richet, Eduardo, and Vasiliki Skreta

Market Size and Spatial Growth - Evidence from Germany’s Post-War Population Expulsions

Peters, Michael

Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Markov Regime-Switching Models with Covariate-Dependent Transition Probabilities

Pouzo, Demian, Zacharias Psaradakis, and Martin Sola

Affirmative Action in India via Vertical, Horizontal, and Overlapping Reservations

Sönmez, Tayfun, and M. Bumin Yenmez

Making a Narco: Childhood Exposure to Illegal Labor Markets and Criminal Life Paths

Sviatschi, Maria Micaela

Long-Run Effects of Dynamically Assigned Treatments: a New Methodology and an Evaluation of Training Effects on Earnings

van den Berg, Gerard J., and Johan Vikström

A General Framework for Robust Contracting Models

Walton, Daniel, and Gabriel Carroll

Optimal Dynamic Information Acquisition

Zhong, Weijie