Econometrica

Journal Of The Econometric Society

An International Society for the Advancement of Economic
Theory in its Relation to Statistics and Mathematics

Edited by: Guido W. Imbens • Print ISSN: 0012-9682 • Online ISSN: 1468-0262

Econometrica - Volume 86

Issue 1

Frontmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 1

p. i-ii

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Unordered Monotonicity

James J. Heckman, Rodrigo Pinto
p. 1-35

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Growth, Trade, and Inequality

Gene M. Grossman, Elhanan Helpman
p. 37-83

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Assortative Matching with Large Firms

Jan Eeckhout, Philipp Kircher
p. 85-132

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The Dual Approach to Recursive Optimization: Theory and Examples

Nicola Pavoni, Christopher Sleet, Matthias Messner
p. 133-172

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Time Preferences and Bargaining

Sebastian Schweighofer‐Kodritsch
p. 173-217

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Equilibrium Selection in Auctions and High Stakes Games

Paul Milgrom, Joshua Mollner
p. 219-261

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Identifying Preferences in Networks with Bounded Degree

Áureo de Paula, Seth Richards‐Shubik, Elie Tamer
p. 263-288

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Identification of Nonparametric Simultaneous Equations Models with a Residual Index Structure

Steven T. Berry, Philip A. Haile
p. 289-315

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Identification of Treatment Effects under Conditional Partial Independence

Matthew A. Masten, Alexandre Poirier
p. 317-351

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Forthcoming Papers

p. 353-353

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The Econometric Society Annual Reports Report of the Secretary

p. 355-362

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The Econometric Society Annual Reports Report of the Treasurer

p. 363-367

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The Econometric Society Annual Reports Report of the Editors 2016–2017

p. 369-371

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The Econometric Society Annual Reports Econometrica Referees 2016–2017

p. 373-383

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The Econometric Society Annual Reports Report of the Editors of the Monograph Series

p. 385-387

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Submission of Manuscripts to the Econometric Society Monograph Series

p. 389-389

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Backmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 1

p. iii-v

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Issue 2

Frontmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 2

p. i-ii

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Demand Analysis using Strategic Reports: An application to a school choice mechanism

Nikhil Agarwal, Paulo Somaini
p. 391-444

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A Theory of Non-Bayesian Social Learning

Pooya Molavi, Alireza Tahbaz‐Salehi, Ali Jadbabaie
p. 445-490

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A News-Utility Theory for Inattention and Delegation in Portfolio Choice

Michaela Pagel
p. 491-522

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Multiproduct-Firm Oligopoly: An Aggregative Games Approach

Volker Nocke, Nicolas Schutz
p. 523-557

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A Theory of Input–Output Architecture

Ezra Oberfield
p. 559-589

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Who Should Be Treated? Empirical Welfare Maximization Methods for Treatment Choice

Toru Kitagawa, Aleksey Tetenov
p. 591-616

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Identifying Long-Run Risks: A Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Approach

Frank Schorfheide, Dongho Song, Amir Yaron
p. 617-654

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Optimal Inference in a Class of Regression Models

Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár
p. 655-683

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Inference Based on Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified With Sign and Zero Restrictions: Theory and Applications

Jonas E. Arias, Juan F. Rubio‐Ramírez, Daniel F. Waggoner
p. 685-720

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Very Simple Markov-Perfect Industry Dynamics: Theory

Jaap H. Abbring, Jeffrey R. Campbell, Jan Tilly, Nan Yang
p. 721-735

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Estimating Semi-parametric Panel Multinomial Choice Models using Cyclic Monotonicity

Xiaoxia Shi, Matthew Shum, Wei Song
p. 737-761

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Estimating Both Supply and Demand Elasticities Using Variation in a Single Tax Rate

Floris T. Zoutman, Evelina Gavrilova, Arnt O. Hopland
p. 763-771

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Forthcoming Papers

p. 773-773

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Backmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 2

p. iii-v

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Issue 3

Frontmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 3

p. i-ii

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Long-Run Covariability

Ulrich K. Müller, Mark W. Watson
p. 775-804

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Saving and Dissaving with Hyperbolic Discounting

Dan Cao, Iván Werning
p. 805-857

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Eliciting Temptation and Self-Control Through Menu Choices: a Lab Experiment

Séverine Toussaert
p. 859-889

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The Welfare Effects of Vertical Integration in Multichannel Television Markets

Gregory S. Crawford, Robin S. Lee, Michael D. Whinston, Ali Yurukoglu
p. 891-954

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Kernel-Based Semiparametric Estimators: Small Bandwidth Asymptotics and Bootstrap Consistency

Matias D. Cattaneo, Michael Jansson
p. 955-995

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The Efficiency of Slacking Off: Evidence from the Emergency Department

David C. Chan
p. 997-1030

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Really Uncertain Business Cycles

Nicholas Bloom, Max Floetotto, Nir Jaimovich, Itay Saporta‐Eksten, Stephen J. Terry
p. 1031-1065

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Competing on Speed

Emiliano S. Pagnotta, Thomas Philippon
p. 1067-1115

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Forthcoming Papers

p. 1117-1117

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Backmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 3

p. iii-v

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Issue 4

Frontmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 4

p. i-ii

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Strategic Trading in Informationally Complex Environments

Nicolas S. Lambert, Michael Ostrovsky, Mikhail Panov
p. 1119-1157

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Unrealistic Expectations and Misguided Learning

Paul Heidhues, Botond Kőszegi, Philipp Strack
p. 1159-1214

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Learning and Type Compatibility in Signaling Games

Drew Fudenberg, Kevin He
p. 1215-1255

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Consumer Search and Price Competition

Michael Choi, Anovia Yifan Dai, Kyungmin Kim
p. 1257-1281

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The Implementation Duality

Georg Nöldeke, Larry Samuelson
p. 1283-1324

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On Multiple Discount Rates

Christopher P. Chambers, Federico Echenique
p. 1325-1346

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Dynamic Mixture-Averse Preferences

Todd Sarver
p. 1347-1382

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Risk Preferences and the Macroeconomic Announcement Premium

Hengjie Ai, Ravi Bansal
p. 1383-1430

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Activism, Strategic Trading, and Liquidity

Kerry Back, Pierre Collin‐Dufresne, Vyacheslav Fos, Tao Li, Alexander Ljungqvist
p. 1431-1463

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Alternative Asymptotics for Cointegration Tests in Large VARs

Alexei Onatski, Chen Wang
p. 1465-1478

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A One Covariate at a Time, Multiple Testing Approach to Variable Selection in High-Dimensional Linear Regression Models

A. Chudik, G. Kapetanios, M. Hashem Pesaran
p. 1479-1512

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Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand: Comment

Oliver de Groot, Alexander W. Richter, Nathaniel A. Throckmorton
p. 1513-1526

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Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand: Reply

Susanto Basu, Brent Bundick
p. 1527-1531

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Forthcoming Papers

p. 1533-1533

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Submission of Manuscripts to the Econometric Society Monograph Series

p. 1535-1535

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Backmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 4

p. iii-v

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Issue 5

Frontmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 5

p. i-ii

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Social Discounting and Intergenerational Pareto

Tangren Feng, Shaowei Ke
p. 1537-1567

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Robust Mechanisms Under Common Valuation

Songzi Du
p. 1569-1588

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Using Instrumental Variables for Inference about Policy Relevant Treatment Parameters

Magne Mogstad, Andres Santos, Alexander Torgovitsky
p. 1589-1619

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Expressive voting and its cost: Evidence from runoffs with two or three candidates

Vincent Pons, Clémence Tricaud
p. 1621-1649

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Market Power and the Laffer Curve

Eugenio J. Miravete, Katja Seim, Jeff Thurk
p. 1651-1687

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Quantifying Confidence

George‐Marios Angeletos, Fabrice Collard, Harris Dellas
p. 1689-1726

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Trading and Information Diffusion in Over-the-Counter Markets

Ana Babus, Péter Kondor
p. 1727-1769

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Overidentification in Regular Models

Xiaohong Chen, Andres Santos
p. 1771-1817

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Cascading Failures in Production Networks

David Rezza Baqaee
p. 1819-1838

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Measuring Ambiguity Attitudes for All (Natural) Events

Aurélien Baillon, Zhenxing Huang, Asli Selim, Peter P. Wakker
p. 1839-1858

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General Equilibrium with Uncertainty Loving Preferences

Aloisio Araujo, Alain Chateauneuf, Juan Pablo Gama, Rodrigo Novinski
p. 1859-1871

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Forthcoming Papers

p. 1873-1873

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2017 Election of Fellows to the Econometric Society

p. 1875-1881

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Backmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 5

p. iii-v

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Issue 6

Frontmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 6

p. i-ii

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Nonparametric Analysis of Random Utility Models

Yuichi Kitamura, Jörg Stoye
p. 1883-1909

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The Sorted Effects Method: Discovering Heterogeneous Effects Beyond their Averages

Victor Chernozhukov, Iván Fernández‐Val, Ye Luo
p. 1911-1938

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Identifying Effects of Multivalued Treatments

Sokbae Lee, Bernard Salanié
p. 1939-1963

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Monte Carlo Confidence Sets for Identified Sets

Xiaohong Chen, Timothy M. Christensen, Elie Tamer
p. 1965-2018

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Surprised by the Hot Hand Fallacy? A Truth in the Law of Small Numbers

Joshua B. Miller, Adam Sanjurjo
p. 2019-2047

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Aggregating Elasticities: Intensive and Extensive Margins of Women's Labor Supply

Orazio Attanasio, Peter Levell, Hamish Low, Virginia Sánchez‐Marcos
p. 2049-2082

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The Historical State, Local Collective Action, and Economic Development in Vietnam

Melissa Dell, Nathan Lane, Pablo Querubin
p. 2083-2121

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The Value of Regulatory Discretion: Estimates from Environmental Inspections in India

Esther Duflo, Michael Greenstone, Rohini Pande, Nicholas Ryan
p. 2123-2160

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Provider Incentives and Healthcare Costs: Evidence from Long-Term Care Hospitals

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Neale Mahoney
p. 2161-2219

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Long memory via networking

Susanne M. Schennach
p. 2221-2248

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Forthcoming Papers

p. 2249-2249

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The Econometric Society 2017 Annual Report of the President

p. 2251-2255

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Backmatter of Econometrica Vol. 86 Iss. 6

p. iii-vi

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