Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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MODELLING MONETARY POLICY: INFLATION TARGETING IN PRACTICE


Category: Econometrics
MONETARY POLICY: EMPIRICAL I
Tuesday 27th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 1.4
Session Chair(s): Luca Sala, Universite Libre de Bruxelles - ECARES, BELGIUM, Domenico Giannone, ECARES, Universite'' Libre de Bruxelles, BELGIUM and Lucrezia Reichlin, CEPR, ECARES, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, , BELGIUM

Presenter(s): Milas, Costas

Co-Author(s): Martin, Chris

Keyword(s): inflation targeting, monetary policy

JEL(s): C51, C52, E52, E58

Abstract:

This paper estimates a simple structural model of monetary policy in the UK for 1963-2000, focusing on the policy of inflation targeting introduced in 1992. Our main findings are: i) the adoption of inflation targets led to significant changes in monetary policy giving greater weight to inflation; (ii) monetary policy post-1992 is asymmetric as policy makers respond more to upward deviation of inflation away from the target; (iii) in the post-1992 period policymakers may be attempting to keep inflation within the range of 1.4%-2.6% rather than pursuing a point target of 2.5%; (iv) monetary policy is more responsive to inflation when it is further from the target.


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Paper Reference Number: 99

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25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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