Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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MODEL RISK AND REGULATORY CAPITAL


Category: Econometrics
SEMI- AND NON-PARAMETRIC METHODS IV
Wednesday 28th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 4.11
Session Chair(s): Tsunao Okumura, Yokohama National University, JAPAN

Presenter(s): Melenberg, Bertrand

Co-Author(s): Melenberg, Bertrand and Schumacher, Hans

Keyword(s): Derivative pricing models, Model risk, Risk measurement

JEL(s): G12, G18

Abstract:

This paper is concerned with the question in which way the allocation of regulatory capital to positions in a given market can reflect the extent to which this market can be reliably modeled. One may argue in general that a relatively greater amount of regulatory capital should be associated to positions in ``unstable'' markets. We provide a framework through which this idea can be given a quantitative form. Our approach is based on computing worst-case risk measures over sets of models that are in some appropriate sense close to a nominal model. The method is general in the sense that it can be applied with any of the usual risk measures such as Value-at-Risk and Tail Conditional Expectation. We present applications both to stock portfolios and to derivative products; we find that (nonparametric) misspecification risk is typically much more important than (parametric) estimation risk.


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Paper Reference Number: 769

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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