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MODEL RISK AND REGULATORY CAPITAL
Category: Econometrics
SEMI- AND NON-PARAMETRIC METHODS IV Wednesday 28th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 4.11
Session Chair(s):
Tsunao Okumura, Yokohama National University, JAPAN
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Abstract:
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This paper is concerned with the question in which way the
allocation of regulatory capital to positions in a given market can reflect
the extent to which this market can be reliably modeled. One may argue in
general that a relatively greater amount of regulatory capital should be
associated to positions in ``unstable'' markets. We provide a framework
through which this idea can be given a quantitative form. Our approach is
based on computing worst-case risk measures over sets of models that are in
some appropriate sense close to a nominal model. The method is general in
the sense that it can be applied with any of the usual risk measures such as
Value-at-Risk and Tail Conditional Expectation. We present applications both to stock portfolios and to derivative products; we
find that (nonparametric) misspecification risk is typically much more
important than (parametric) estimation risk.
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Find this file in the \Papers\769\ folder of this CD-ROM.
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