Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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IS THERE A ROLE FOR CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDENCE?


Category: Economic Theory
Central Banking
Sunday 25th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 1.3
Session Chair(s): Xavier Vives, INSEAD, FRANCE

Presenter(s): Di Gioacchino, Debora and Ginebri, Sergio

Co-Author(s): Sabani, Laura

Keyword(s): central bank independence, lobbying, non-inflationary equilibrium, salience

JEL(s): D72, E58

Abstract:

We model a two-party representative democracy with citizen-candidate in which the governor is elected while the central-banker is appointed by the governor. Assuming that fiscal policy is “more important” than monetary policy, we show that, if some individuals who dislike inflation get organised in a lobby and offer campaign contribution to the parties, then, even if the majority of the population as well as the majority of party-members favour inflation, no inflation results in equilibrium. This result suggests the possibility that the independence of the Central Bank might be the outcome of a Pareto-improving agreement between the lobby and the parties. In fact, starting from the equilibrium with inflation, appointing a “conservative” central-banker before the election, while leaving the parties (and the population) indifferent would make the lobby members save the costs of getting organised.


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Paper Reference Number: 72

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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