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IS THERE A ROLE FOR CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDENCE?
Category: Economic Theory
Central Banking Sunday 25th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 1.3
Session Chair(s):
Xavier Vives, INSEAD, FRANCE
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Abstract:
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We model a two-party representative democracy with citizen-candidate in which the governor is elected while the central-banker is appointed by the governor. Assuming that fiscal policy is “more important” than monetary policy, we show that, if some individuals who dislike inflation get organised in a lobby and offer campaign contribution to the parties, then, even if the majority of the population as well as the majority of party-members favour inflation, no inflation results in equilibrium. This result suggests the possibility that the independence of the Central Bank might be the outcome of a Pareto-improving agreement between the lobby and the parties. In fact, starting from the equilibrium with inflation, appointing a “conservative” central-banker before the election, while leaving the parties (and the population) indifferent would make the lobby members save the costs of getting organised.
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Find this file in the \Papers\72\ folder of this CD-ROM.
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