Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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THE ECONOMETRICS OF INCOME DYNAMICS AND ROTATING PANELS, WITH AN APPLICATIONTO PRECAUTIONARY SAVING


Category: Econometrics
CONSUMPTION III
Tuesday 27th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 1.14
Session Chair(s): Pedro Albarran, CEMFI, SPAIN

Presenter(s): Albarran, Pedro

Co-Author(s): none

Keyword(s): income dynamics, income risk, precautionary saving, rotating panel

JEL(s): C23, D12, D91

Abstract:

This paper is concerned with modelling the stochastic process of income, when its dynamics are given by an aggregate and an individual specific factor. A two-stage methodology is proposed to estimate the parameters of each component. The properties of different estimators are discussed in a rotating panel context, that is, given the number of individuals in each cross-section, the number of periods that an specific individual is observed and the total the number of waves (of the survey). I use this framework to model income dynamics in a Spanish household rotating panel with information on family expenditure. I obtain measures of idiosyncratic and aggregate income risks, which are then used as explanatory variables in a consumption growth equation. This allows me to assess the importance of precautionary saving in response to different sources of income uncertainty.


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Paper Reference Number: 702

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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