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THE ECONOMETRICS OF INCOME DYNAMICS AND ROTATING PANELS, WITH AN APPLICATIONTO PRECAUTIONARY SAVING
Category: Econometrics
CONSUMPTION III Tuesday 27th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 1.14
Session Chair(s):
Pedro Albarran, CEMFI, SPAIN
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Abstract:
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This paper is concerned with modelling the stochastic process of income,
when its dynamics are given by an aggregate and an individual specific
factor. A two-stage methodology is proposed to estimate the parameters of
each component. The properties of different estimators are discussed in a
rotating panel context, that is, given the number of individuals in each
cross-section, the number of periods that an specific individual is observed
and the total the number of waves (of the survey). I use this framework to
model income dynamics in a Spanish household rotating panel with information
on family expenditure. I obtain measures of idiosyncratic and aggregate
income risks, which are then used as explanatory variables in a consumption
growth equation. This allows me to assess the importance of precautionary
saving in response to different sources of income uncertainty.
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Find this file in the \Papers\702\ folder of this CD-ROM.
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