Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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STRATEGIC EXPERIMENTATION: THE CASE OF POISSON BANDITS


Category: Economic Theory
Game Theory III
Monday 26th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 4.2
Session Chair(s): Alexander Matros, ELSE, UCL, UNITED KINGDOM and Gian Luigi Albano, ELSE, UCL, UNITED KINGDOM

Presenter(s): Rady, Sven

Co-Author(s): Cripps, Martin and Keller, Godfrey

Keyword(s): Bayesian Learning, Markov Perfect Equilibrium, Poisson Process, Strategic Experimentation, Two-Armed Bandit

JEL(s): C73, D83, H41, O32

Abstract:

We study strategic experimentation with two-armed bandits when the risky arm distributes lump-sum payoffs according to a Poisson process with unknown intensity. We characterize the unique symmetric Markov equilibrium of the game, which is in mixed strategies. Asymmetric pure-strategy equilibria are constructed for the special case where there are two players and the arrival of the first lump sum fully reveals the quality of the risky arm. The efficiency of these equilibria depends on the way players share the burden of experimentation. At least for relatively pessimistic beliefs, even the worst asymmetric equilibrium is more efficient than the symmetric one.


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Paper Reference Number: 693

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25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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