Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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PREVALENCE AND SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS IN TOBACCO CONSUMPTION: A DISCRETE CHOICE ANALYSIS OF PANEL DATA


Category: Econometrics
DISCRETE CHOICE PANEL DATA ANALYSIS
Wednesday 28th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 1.6
Session Chair(s): Knut Reidar Wangen, Statistics Norway, NORWAY

Presenter(s): Wangen, Knut Reidar

Co-Author(s): Biorn, Erik

Keyword(s): Bootstrapping, Discrete choice, Heterogeneity, Logit analysis, Panel data, Tobacco

JEL(s): C33, C35, D12, I18

Abstract:

Binomial and multinomial logit models with random effects are applied on a twenty year unbalanced panel of Norwegian households. Two binomial choices are considered: whether to smoke or not, and given smoking is chosen, whether to smoke hand rolled or manufactured cigarettes. Multinomial models are used to study the choice among four alternatives: no tobacco; manufactured cigarettes only; hand rolled cigarettes only; both manufactured and hand rolled cigarettes. Results obtained by Maximum Likelihood, and bootstrap estimation of standard errors, indicate that an increased price on manufactured cigarettes could lead consumers to switch to hand rolled cigarettes, rather than quit smoking.


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Paper Reference Number: 683

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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