Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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RESTRICTING GROWTH RATES IN COINTEGRATED VAR MODELS


Category: Econometrics
COINTEGRATION: APPLICATIONS
Sunday 25th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 2.1
Session Chair(s): Neil R Ericsson, Federal Reserve Board, UNITED STATES

Presenter(s): Hungnes, Håvard

Co-Author(s): none

Keyword(s): cointegrated VAR, cointegration means, growth rates, Johansen procedure, linear switching algorithm, money demand

JEL(s): C32, C51, C52, E41

Abstract:

In a cointegrated vector autoregressive model the intercept parameters can be decomposed into growth rate parameters and cointegration mean parameters. The growth rate parameters have important economic interpretations and may be equally important to identify and conduct hypothesis testing on as the cointegration vectors and the matrix of adjustment parameters. Here we develop a linear switching algorithm for estimating (possibly) restricted growth rates as a part of the cointegration analysis. We also show that the standard deviations for the growth rate parameters can be computed from their information matrix alone. An example with Danish money demand illustrates the method.


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Paper Reference Number: 670

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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