Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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CONDITIONAL HETEROSCEDASTICITY MODEL FOR DISCRETE HIGH-FREQUENCY PRICECHANGES. WITH APPLICATION TO IBM TRADES DATA.


Category: Econometrics
GARCH MODELS III
Tuesday 27th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 5.5
Session Chair(s): Michael Wolf, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, SPAIN

Presenter(s): Koulikov, Dmitri

Co-Author(s): none

Keyword(s): Conditional heteroscedasticity, High-frequency financial data, Markov chains, Non-linear econometric models, Time-series of discrete random variables

JEL(s): C22, C25, C51, G10

Abstract:

In this paper we present conditional heteroscedasticity models for time-series of discrete price changes in high-frequency financial data. They combine tractability of observation-driven GARCH models of Bollerslev~(1986) with the simplicity of the ordered probit/logit structure of Hausman, Lo and MacKinlay~(1992). In contrast to the ACM model of Russel and Engle~(1998) and the ADS decomposition model of Rydberg and Shephard~(1999), we separate groups of parameters driving conditional mean and conditional variance of the data, allowing us to test the effects of explanatory variables separately on the two moments of high-frequency price changes. We introduce two models belonging to the class outlined above: IV-GARCH model with short-memory volatility dynamics and IV-FIARCH model with long-range dependence in the conditional volatility. Application of the models to IBM trades dataset is provided.


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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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