Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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THE CREDIBILITY OF CENTRAL BANK ANNOUNCEMENTS


Category: Economic Theory
Central Banking
Sunday 25th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 1.3
Session Chair(s): Xavier Vives, INSEAD, FRANCE

Presenter(s): Hoeberichts, Marco

Co-Author(s): none

Keyword(s): ANNOUNCEMENTS, MONETARY POLICY, PRIVATE INFORMATION

JEL(s): E52, E58

Abstract:

In this paper, we present a monetary policy game in which the central bank has a private forecast of supply and demand shocks. The public needs to form its inflationary expectations and can make use of central bank announcements. However, because of the credibility problem that the central bank faces, the public will not believe a precise announcement. By extending the arrangement proposed by Garfinkel and Oh (1995) to a model that includes private information about both demand and supply shocks, we investigate the feasibility of making imprecise credible announcements concerning the rate of inflation.


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Paper Reference Number: 619

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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