Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING: MARKET DATA EVIDENCE


Category: Economic Theory
Behavioral Finance
Tuesday 27th August 2002, 14:30 - 16:00, Room: 5.5
Session Chair(s): Ani Guerdjikova, University of Heidelberg, Afred-Weber Institute, GERMANY

Presenter(s): Levy, Ori

Co-Author(s): Kliger, Doron

Keyword(s): Hyperbolic Discounting, Index Options, Pricing Kernel, State Prices, time-inconsistency

JEL(s): D81

Abstract:

Experimental evidence suggesting that intertemporal preferences are time inconsistent is widespread. In particular, the "short-run" is found to be more heavily discounted than the "long run." Hyperbolic discounting is used to describe such preferences. This paper employs asset market data to test for non-exponential discounting. Our approach relies on state prices recovered using S&P500 index options. We find statistical evidence for the existence of hyperbolic time preferences.


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Paper Reference Number: 586

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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