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PRIVATE INFORMATION AND THE STOCK MARKETS'S REACTION TO EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS
Category: Econometrics
FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS V Tuesday 27th August 2002, 14:30 - 16:00, Room: 1.4
Session Chair(s):
Clara Vega, University of Pennsylvania, UNITED STATES
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Abstract:
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This paper presents a new explanation for the post-announcement drift, i.e., the time-lag in market price adjustment to news surprises. Our explanation is that the post-announcement drift is a function of the private information agents have prior to news announcements. The more information people have about the "true" value of an asset – and the more they trade on this information – the smaller the abnormal return drift will be. We test this hypothesis empirically. Since private information is not observable by the econometrician, we use transaction-level data and a sequential trade microstructure model to calculate the probability of private information-base trading (PIBT) prior to an earnings announcement.
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Find this file in the \Papers\54\ folder of this CD-ROM.
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