Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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DO CORE INFLATION MEASURES MEASURE CORE INFLATION?


Category: Econometrics
INFLATION
Sunday 25th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 5.3
Session Chair(s): Marcelo Portugal, UFRGS , BRAZIL

Presenter(s): Folkertsma, Carsten

Co-Author(s): Hubrich, Kirstin

Keyword(s): core inflation, Monte-Carlo simulation, stochastic general equilibrium model, SVAR-models

JEL(s): C15, C32, E31, E37

Abstract:

This paper assesses the performance of core inflation measures based on the structural VAR approach. Since core or monetary inflation is not directly observable, we develop a monetary general equilibrium model that fits real aggregated European data and use this model to generate time series for headline as well as core inflation. For five different schemes which attempt to identify core inflation within a SVAR framework it is investigated whether the estimated core inflation series recover the true series sufficiently precise in order to be useful for monetary policy.


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Paper Reference Number: 471

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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