Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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TESTS FOR COVARIANCE STATIONARITY AND WHITE NOISE, WITH AN APPLICATION TO EURO/US DOLLAR EXCHANGE RATE: AN APPROACH BASED ON TIME-FREQUENCY DOMAIN


Category: Econometrics
STRUCTURAL BREAKS II
Tuesday 27th August 2002, 14:30 - 16:00, Room: 4.8
Session Chair(s): Stephen Leybourne, University of Nottingham, UNITED KINGDOM

Presenter(s): Ahamada, Ibrahim

Co-Author(s): none

Keyword(s): Break point, Long-term stability, P value discrepancy plots, Short-term stability, Size-Power curves, Spectral density, Stationarity, White noise

JEL(s): C12, C22

Abstract:

This paper proposes two non parametric tests for stationarity and white noise against the alternative of time-varying covariance structure with an application to euro/us dollar exchange rate. These tests are based on stability of evolutionary spectral density of the process. Graphical methods using the size and power, confirm the efficiency of our approach when compared with other stationarity tests. For the euro/us dollar exchange rate, the method reveals a break point and a short-term instability while the long-term stability is not rejected by the tests.


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Paper Reference Number: 405

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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