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CONVERGENCE IN PER-CAPITA GDP ACROSS EUROPEAN REGIONS: A REAPPRAISAL
Category: Econometrics
PANEL DATA APPLICATIONS I Sunday 25th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 5.4
Session Chair(s):
Kjersti-Gro Lindquist, Central Bank of Norway, NORWAY
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Abstract:
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This paper studies convergence in per-capita GDP across European regions
over the period 1980--1996. We use median unbiased estimators of the
rate of convergence to the steady-state growth path, while allowing for
unrestricted patterns of heterogeneity and spatial correlation across
regions. By permitting the model parameters to be completely different
across regions, not only we avoid imposing strong a priori assumptions
but we are also able to analyze the spatial patterns in the estimated
coefficients. Our results differ from those found using conventional
estimators. The main differences are: i) the mean rate of convergence
is much lower; ii) for most regions this rate is zero; iii) the number
of regions for which we reject equality in trend growth rates is
substantially lower. We also find significant evidence of correlation
of growth rates across neighbor regions and across regions belonging to
the same country.
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Find this file in the \Papers\328\ folder of this CD-ROM.
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