Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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A ‘NATURAL EXPERIMENT’ ON THE ECONOMICS OF STORKS: EVIDENCEON THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENTIAL FAMILY POLICY ON FERTILITY RATES INCANADA


Category: Econometrics
TAX POLICY: EMPIRICAL
Wednesday 28th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 5.2
Session Chair(s): Philip Merrigan, University of Québec at Montréal, CANADA

Presenter(s): Merrigan, Philip

Co-Author(s): Lefebvre, Pierre

Keyword(s): fertility, public policy, treatent effects

JEL(s): H39, J13

Abstract:

Faced with the lowest (and declining) fertility rate in Canada, the government of the province of Quebec (where the population is mostly French) decided in 1986 to implement incrementally a variety of generous benefits. The 1986-1997 window offers a 'natural experiment' to evaluate the effects of generous tax and transfer policies on fertility. The paper uses the important change in family policy that occurred in only one province out of ten in Canada to identify the treatment effects. A difference-in-differences estimator is calculated to identify the impact of the 1986-1996 'natural experiment'.


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Paper Reference Number: 1703

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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