Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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SPECULATIVE ATTACKS AND FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE: EXPERIMENTAL ANALYSIS OF COORDINATION GAMES WITH PUBLIC AND PRIVATE INFORMATION


Category: Economic Theory
Game Experiments II
Tuesday 27th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 4.3
Session Chair(s): Frank Heinemann, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, GERMANY

Presenter(s): Heinemann, Frank

Co-Author(s): Nagel, Rosemarie and Ockenfels, Peter

Keyword(s): coordination game, experiment, global game, private information, public information, strategic uncertainty

JEL(s): C72, C91, E58

Abstract:

Speculative Attacks are a coordination game with multiple equilibria if the payoff function is common knowledge. With private information there is a unique equilibrium. This raises the question whether public information may be destabilizing by allowing for self-fulfilling beliefs. We present an experiment that imitates a speculative attacks model and compare sessions with public and private information. Our evidence suggests that public information does not lead to self-fulfilling beliefs. Predictability of attacks is even higher with public than with private information. Prior probability of attacks is also higher with public information. With public information subjects coordinate on equilibria somewhere between payoff dominant and risk dominant equilibrium. Reactions to parameter changes go into the directions predicted by risk dominance.


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Paper Reference Number: 1581

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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