Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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BUBBLES AND LONG RANGE DEPENDENCE IN ASSET PRICES VOLATILITIES


Category: Econometrics
LONG MEMORY I
Monday 26th August 2002, 14:30 - 16:00, Room: 1.14
Session Chair(s): Gilles Teyssiere, GREQAM and CORE, FRANCE

Presenter(s): Teyssiere, Gilles

Co-Author(s): Kirman, Alan

Keyword(s): bubbles, change point, Interaction, long memory

JEL(s): C22, C52, D40, G12

Abstract:

A model for financial assets is constructed with two types of agents, who differ in terms of their beliefs. The proportion of the agents change over time according to a stochastic process which models the interaction between agents. Thus, unlike other models, agents do not persist in holding "wrong" beliefs. Although the model seems to generate long memory properties of the volatility series, we show that this is due to the switching of regimes which are detected by the tests we propose.


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Paper Reference Number: 1485

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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