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OUTLIER DETECTION IN GARCH MODELS
Category: Econometrics
GARCH MODELS IV Wednesday 28th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 4.7
Session Chair(s):
Jurgen Doornik, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, UNITED KINGDOM
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Abstract:
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We present a new procedure for detecting additive outliers in GARCH(1,1)
models. The outlier candidate is the observation with the largest
standardized residual. First, a likelihood-ratio based tests
determines the presence of an outlier. Next, a second LR test determines the
type of outlier (volatility or level). This procedure is shown
to be approximately independent from the GARCH parameters, with a
null distribution that can be easily approximated. We apply the method to
returns of the Dow Jones index, using monthly, weekly, and daily data.
The procedure is extended to cover GARCH models with Student-t
distributed errors.
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Find this file in the \Papers\1465\ folder of this CD-ROM.
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