Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

Home Page
Programme
Papers
Presenters
 
Contact Us
Search this CD-ROM for: View the Latest Programme Information

A FLEXIBLE COEFFICIENT SMOOTH TRANSITION TIME SERIES MODEL


Category: Econometrics
NONLINEAR TIME SERIES II
Wednesday 28th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 4.10
Session Chair(s): Marcelo C Medeiros, Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro, BRAZIL

Presenter(s): Medeiros, Marcelo C

Co-Author(s): Veiga, Alvaro

Keyword(s): Neural networks, Smooth Transition, Threshold models, Time series

JEL(s): C22, C51

Abstract:

In this paper, we propose a flexible smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) model with multiple regimes and multiple transition variables. This formulation can be interpreted as a time varying linear model where the coefficients are the outputs of a single hidden layer feedforward neural network. This proposal has the major advantage of nesting several nonlinear models, such as, the Self-Exciting Threshold AutoRegressive (SETAR), the AutoRegressive Neural Network (AR-NN), and the Logistic STAR models. Furthermore, if the neural network is interpreted as a nonparametric universal approximation to any Borel-measurable function, our formulation is directly comparable to the Functional Coefficient AutoRegressive (FAR) and the Single-Index Coefficient Regression models. A model building procedure is developed based on statistical inference arguments.


View Paper

View PDF File

Filesize: 344 kb
Find this file in the
\Papers\1462\
folder of this CD-ROM.

Latest Details
View this paper in the
online Programme

Customise
Customise your Event Programme to include your favourite papers, and email details of papers to friends and colleagues with the
online Programme


Paper Reference Number: 1462

TOP OF PAGE
HOME
Econometric Society
57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

WebMeets.com Event Management LLP
Congress Home Page: http://www.eea-esem2002.it/
Programme Home Page: http://www.eea-esem.com/EEA-ESEM/ESEM2002/Prog/
Programme and CD generated with WebMeets.com Programme Management Software
Congress Programme Organized by FEEM

This page was created on Tuesday, 9th July 2002 at 19:22 GMT.