Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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AUTOREGRESSIVE CONDITIONAL ROOT MODEL


Category: Econometrics
NONLINEAR TIME SERIES I
Sunday 25th August 2002, 14:30 - 16:00, Room: 1.3
Session Chair(s): Donald W. K. Andrews , Yale University, UNITED STATES

Presenter(s): Rahbek, Anders

Co-Author(s): Shephard, Neil

Keyword(s): NON-LINEAR, PPP, REGIME SWITCHING, STAR MODELS, STOCHASTIC ROOT, SWITCHING REGRESSION

JEL(s): C22, C53

Abstract:

In this paper we develop a time series model which allows long-term disequilibriums to have epochs of non-stationarity, giving the impression that long term relationships between economic variables have temporarily broken down, before they endogenously collapse back towards their long term relationship. This autoregressive root model is shown to be ergodic and covariance stationary under some rather general conditions. We study how this model can be estimated and tested, developing appropriate asymptotic theory for this task. Finally we apply the model to assess the purchasing power parity relationship.


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Paper Reference Number: 1385

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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