Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF STAR AND STAR-GARCH MODELS: A MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS


Category: Econometrics
GARCH MODELS II
Monday 26th August 2002, 09:30 - 11:00, Room: 1.8
Session Chair(s): Felix Chan, University of Western Australia, AUSTRALIA

Presenter(s): Chan, Felix

Co-Author(s): McAleer, Michael

Keyword(s): GARCH, Non-linear time series, STAR

JEL(s): C22

Abstract:

Theoretical and practical interest in regime switching models has increased rapidly in recent years. Given the substantial research activity in analysing time-varying GARCH volatility, it is useful to investigate regime switching models with GARCH errors. A popular specification of non-linear time series model is Smooth Transition Autoregressive - GARCH (STAR-GARCH). However, little is known about the structural properties of STAR-GARCH models and the finite sample properties of the estimators of STAR and STAR-GARCH models. This paper examines maximum likelihood estimation of these models through numerical simulation, with reference to recent theoretical advances. The finite sample statistical properties of STAR-GARCH models, and the effects of correct and incorrect specification of the conditional mean and/or the transition function of both STAR and STAR-GARCH models, are examined.


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Paper Reference Number: 1322

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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