Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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EXTRACTING, USING AND ANALYZING CYCLICAL INFORMATION


Category: Econometrics
BUSINESS CYCLES: EMPIRICAL
Sunday 25th August 2002, 14:30 - 16:00, Room: 1.5
Session Chair(s): Thomas Lubik, Johns Hopkins University, UNITED STATES

Presenter(s): Harding, Don

Co-Author(s): Pagan, Adrian

Keyword(s): Business Cycle, Growth Cycle, Synchronization, Turning Points

JEL(s): C22, C53, E32

Abstract:

Recent events suggest that the death of the business cycle has been exaggerated; the issue of how one learns about and monitors the business cycle remains centre stage. Advent of the Euro and the potential for tensions when sovereign nations subsume their monetary policy into a single response makes monitoring the business cycle of particular interest for policy makers. In this paper we summarize recent research on three questions relating to cycles in economic activity - how to extract cyclical information, how to analyse it, and how to enquire into what special difficulties might be encountered when using cyclical indicators.


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Paper Reference Number: 1277

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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