Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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A PARTITIONING APPROACH TO THE SPECIFICATION OF LARGE VAR MODELS: WITH AN APPLICATION TO THE DAX30 SERIES


Category: Econometrics
TIME SERIES II
Monday 26th August 2002, 14:30 - 16:00, Room: 5.8
Session Chair(s): Chris Heaton, Macquarie University, AUSTRALIA

Presenter(s): Hauser, Michael A.

Co-Author(s): none

Keyword(s): clustering, predictability

JEL(s): C32

Abstract:

The paper proposes a new specification approach for large VAR models in standard form by partitioning the left hand side variables into a fixed number of groups, so that for each group a ``best'' set of explanatory (lagged endogenous) variables is given. We start with a collection of different sets of lagged endogenous variables, which are valued with respect to the predictive power [Geweke(1982)] for all endogenous variables. The grouping of the left hand side variables and the selection of the ``best'' explanatory sets is performed simultaneously by the partitioning algorithm which solves the p-median problem of the uncapacitated facility location problem. An application is given.


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Paper Reference Number: 1147

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57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

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