Econometric Society 57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

Home Page
Programme
Papers
Presenters
 
Contact Us
Search this CD-ROM for: View the Latest Programme Information

GENERAL-TO-SPECIFIC MODEL SELECTION PROCEDURES FOR STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIONS


Category: Econometrics
VAR MODELS
Tuesday 27th August 2002, 14:30 - 16:00, Room: 4.9
Session Chair(s): Frank Schorfheide, University of Pennsylvania, UNITED STATES

Presenter(s): Krolzig, Hans-Martin

Co-Author(s): none

Keyword(s): Causal order, Data mining, Model selection, Subset model, Vector autoregression

JEL(s): C32, C51, E52

Abstract:

Structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models have emerged as a dominant research strategy in empirical macroeconomics. Despite their advantages, just-identified SVAR models suffer from (i) the great number of parameters, (ii) the resulting uncertainty associated with impulse responses, (iii) the existence of alternative observationally-equivalent just-identified models and (iv) the lack of identification of the imposed causal ordering of the variables of the system. In this paper we propose general-to-specific reductions of just-identified SVAR models to overcome these limitations. We show that the computer-automated model selection algorithm embodied in PcGets can be used for an efficient implementation of the underlying methodology. The application of the proposed reduction strategy to a US monetary system demonstrates the feasibility of PcGets for the analysis of large macroeconomic data sets.


View Paper

View PDF File

Filesize: 362 kb
Find this file in the
\Papers\1100\
folder of this CD-ROM.

Latest Details
View this paper in the
online Programme

Customise
Customise your Event Programme to include your favourite papers, and email details of papers to friends and colleagues with the
online Programme


Paper Reference Number: 1100

TOP OF PAGE
HOME
Econometric Society
57th European Meeting
25th August 2002 - 28th August 2002, Venice, Italy

WebMeets.com Event Management LLP
Congress Home Page: http://www.eea-esem2002.it/
Programme Home Page: http://www.eea-esem.com/EEA-ESEM/ESEM2002/Prog/
Programme and CD generated with WebMeets.com Programme Management Software
Congress Programme Organized by FEEM

This page was created on Tuesday, 9th July 2002 at 19:22 GMT.