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Program of the North American Winter Meeting
Chicago, IL
January 6-8, 2012
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Program Chairs |
Jonathan Levin, Stanford University
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Plenary Lectures |
Jan 05, 2012 5:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Crystal A
Presidential Address
Bengt Holmström (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
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Invited Sessions |
Jan 07, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Regency D
Behavioral Economics
Presiding: Jonathan Levin (Stanford University)
B. Douglas Bernheim (Stanford University)
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
Discussants:
Andrei Shleifer (Harvard University)
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Program |
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Jan 05, 2012
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Jan 05, 2012 5:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Crystal A
Presidential Address
Bengt Holmstrom (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
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Jan 06, 2012
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Jan 06, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Addams
Allocation Decisons in Uncertain Dynamic Environments (C8)
Presiding: Alessandro Bonatti (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Demand Uncertainty and Dynamic Allocation with Strategic Agents
Alex Gershkov (Hebrew University of Jerusalem)
Benny Moldovanu (University of Bonn)
The Dynamics of Innovation
Umberto Garfagnini (Northwestern University)
Bruno Strulovici (Northwestern University)
Dynamic Pricing in the Presence of Social Learning
Xi Weng (University of Pennsylvania)
Career Patterns and Career Concerns
Alessandro Bonatti (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Johannes Horner (Yale University)
Jan 06, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Field
Credit Supply During the Financial Crisis (G0)
Presiding: Amir Sufi (University of Chicago)
Dissecting the Effect of Credit Supply on Trade: Evidence from Matched Credit-Export Data
Daniel Paravisini (Columbia University)
Veronica Rappoport (Columbia University)
Philipp Schnabl (New York University)
Daniel Wolfenzon (Columbia University)
Resource Allocation within Firms and Finanical Market Distortion: Evidence from Diversified Conglomerates
Gregor Matvos (University of Chicago)
Amit Seru (University of Chicago)
Lending Relationships and the Effect of Bank Distress: Evidence from the 2007-2008 Financial Crisis
Daniel Carvalho (University of Southern California)
Miguel Almeida Ferreira (NOVA School of Business and Economics)
Pedro Matos (University of Southern California)
Discussants:
Manju Puri (Duke University)
Toni Whited (University of Rochester)
Philip Strahan (Boston College)
Jan 06, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Wright
Macroeconomics of Labor Markets (J6)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Selective Hiring and Optimal Labor Market Policy
Christian Merkl (University of Erlangen-Nuremberg and Kiel Institute)
Thijs van Rens (CREI and DEE CREI and Universitat Pompeu Fabra)
The Union Threat
Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel (Princeton University)
Employment Protection and Business Cycles in Emerging Economies
Ruy Lama (International Monetary Fund)
Carlos Urrutia (ITAM)
Unemployment Insurance and Home Production
Temel Taskin (European University Institute)
Jan 06, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Grand Suite 3
Private Equity and Asset Management (G1)
Presiding: Steven Kaplan (University of Chicago)
Valuing Private Equity
Morten Sorensen (Columbia University)
Neng Wang (Columbia Business School)
Jinqiang Yang (Columbia University)
Is Bigger Better? Size and Performance in Pension Plan Management
I. J. Alexander Dyck (University of Toronto)
Lukasz Pomorski (University of Toronto)
Local Overweighting and Underperformance: Evidence from Limited Partner Private Equity Investments
Yael V Hochberg (Northwestern University)
Joshua Rauh (Northwestern University)
Large Investors' Influence in Private Equity Funds
Adair Morse (University of Chicago)
Discussants:
Wayne Ferson (University of Southern California)
Andrew Metrick (Yale University)
Per Stromberg (Stockholm School of Economics)
Alexander Ljungqvist (New York University)
Jan 06, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Burnham
Recent Developments in Belief Elicitation Experiments (C9)
Presiding: Daniel Houser (George Mason University)
Subjective Beliefs Formation and Elicitation Rules : Experimental Evidence
Sebastien Massoni (Universite Paris 1)
Belief Elicitation in the Present of Naive Respondents: An Experimental Study
Li Hao (George Mason University)
Daniel Edward Houser (George Mason University)
The Binarized Scoring Rule of Belief Elicitation
Tanjim Hossain (University of Toronto)
Ryo Okui (Kyoto University)
Estimating Subjective Probabilities
Steffen Andersen (Copenhagen Business School)
John Fountain (University of Canterbury)
Glenn Harrison (Georgia State University)
Elisabet Rutstrom (Georgia State University)
Discussants:
Li Hao (George Mason University)
Steffen Andersen (Copenhagen Business School)
Daniel Edward Houser (George Mason University)
Nicolas Lambert (Stanford University)
Jan 06, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Ogden
Reference Dependent Preferences (D0)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Explaining Nonconvex Preferences with Aspirational and Status Quo Reference Dependence
Russell Golman (Carnegie Mellon University)
George F. Loewenstein (Carnegie Mellon University)
Desert and Inequity Aversion in Teams
David Gill (University of Oxford)
Rebecca Stone (New York University)
Revealed (P)Reference
Efe A. Ok (New York University)
Pietro Ortoleva (California Institute of Technology)
Gil Riella (Universidade de Brasilia)
Jan 06, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Addams
Analysis and Computation of Large Games and Mechanisms (C7)
Presiding: Aaron Bodoh-Creed (Cornell University)
Strategyproofness for "Price Takers" as a Desideratum for Market Design
Eduardo Azevedo (Harvard University)
Eric Budish (University of Chicago)
Robust Comparative Statics in Large Dynamic Economies
Daron Acemoglu (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Martin Kaae Jensen (University of Birmingham)
Mean Field Equilibria of Dynamic Auctions with Learning
Krishnamurthy Iyer (Stanford University)
Ramesh Johari (Stanford University)
Mukund Sundararajan (Google, Inc.)
Approximation of Large Dynamic Games
Aaron Bodoh-Creed (Cornell University)
Discussants:
Eran Shmaya (Northwestern University)
Fuhito Kojima (Stanford University)
Joyee Deb (New York University)
Parag A. Pathak (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Jan 06, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, McCormick
Endogeneity and Instrumental Variables (C2)
Presiding: Whitney Newey (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Identification and Estimation in Discrete Choice Demand Models when Endogenous Variables Interact with the Error
Amit Kumar Gandhi (University of Wisconsin)
Kyoo il Kim (University of Minnesota)
Amil Petrin (University of Minnesota)
An Instrumental Variable Model of Multiple Discrete Choice
Andrew Chesher (University College London)
Adam M. Rosen (University College London)
Konrad Smolinski (CeMMAP)
Bandwidth Selection for Nonparametric and Semiparametric LATE and Regression Discontinuity Estimators
Yoichi Arai (Public Policy GRIPS)
Hidehiko Ichimura (Graduate School of Economics University of Tokyo)
A Discontinuity Test of Endogeneity
Carolina Caetano (University of Rochester)
Discussants:
Ariel Pakes (Harvard University)
Steven Berry (Yale University)
Jack Porter (University of Wisconsin)
Guido Imbens (Harvard University)
Jan 06, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Ogden
Housing and Labor Markets in Spatial Economics (R1)
Presiding: Marcus Berliant (Washington University in St. Louis)
Reversal of Fortune by Housing Markets
Marcus Berliant (Washington University in St. Louis)
Chia-Ming Yu (Washington University in St. Louis)
Spatial Competition in Quality, Demand Induced Innovation, and Schumpeterian Growth
Raphael A. Auer (Swiss National Bank)
Philip U. Saure (Swiss National Bank)
Trade, Urbanization and Capital Accumulation in a Labor Surplus Economy
Eric W. Bond (Vanderbilt University)
Raymond Riezman (University of Iowa)
Ping Wang (Washington University)
Urban Business Cycles through a Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides Lens
Yannis M Ioannides (Tufts University)
Discussants:
Francois Ortalo-Magne (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Klaus Desmet (Universidad Carlos III)
Satyajit Chatterjee (Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia)
Frederic Robert-Nicoud (University of Geneva)
Jan 06, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Wright
Matching Markets (C7)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Effective Affirmative Action in School Choice
Isa Emin Hafalir (Carnegie Mellon University)
Decentralized Market Processes to Stable Job Matchings with Competitive Salaries
Bo Chen (Southern Methodist University)
Zaifu Yang (University of York)
Finding the Set of Core Allocations in Matching Markets with Externalities
Mustafa Oguz Afacan (Stanford University)
The Core and Incentive Compatibility of an Ascending Proxy Package Auction
Hiroyuki ADACHI (Nagoya University)
Discussants:
Atila Abdulkadiroglu (Duke University)
Matthew Elliott (Stanford University)
Alistair James Wilson (New York University)
John William Hatfield (Stanford University)
Jan 06, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Field
Price Rigidities (E4)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Price Setting with Menu Cost for Multi-product Firms
Francesco Lippi (University of Sassari)
Customer Relationship and Sales
Shouyong Shi (University of Toronto)
Best Prices
Judith Chevalier (Yale University)
Anil K. Kashyap (University of Chicago)
Internet Prices and the Great Recession
Alberto Felipe Cavallo (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Brent Neiman (University of Chicago)
Roberto Rigobon (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Jan 06, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Dusable
Stochastic Dominance Tests to Evaluate Treatment Effects (C2)
Presiding: Alberto Abadie (Harvard University)
Estimation and Inference for Distribution Functions and Quantile Functions in Treatment Effect Models
Stephen Donald (University of Texas-Austin)
Yu-Chin Hsu (University of Missouri-Columbia)
Conditional Stochastic Dominance Testing
Miguel A. Delgado (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)
Juan Carlos Escanciano (Indiana University)
Testing for Distributional Treatment Effects: A Set Identification Approach
Sung Jae Jun (Pennsylvania State University)
Yoonseok Lee (University of Michigan)
Youngki Shin (University of Western Ontario)
Nonparametric Tests of Conditional Treatment Effects
Sokbae (Simon) Lee (Seoul National University)
Yoon-Jae Whang (Seoul National University)
Discussants:
Toru Kitagawa (University College London)
Sokbae (Simon) Lee (Seoul National University)
Christoph Sebastian Rothe (Toulouse School of Economics)
Matias Damian Cattaneo (University of Michigan)
Jan 06, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Addams
Advances in Optimal Taxation (H2)
Presiding: Mikhail Golosov (Yale University)
Optimal Taxation with Rent-Seeking
Casey Goodfriend Rothschild (Wellesley College)
Florian Scheuer (Stanford University)
Optimal Taxation of Capital Income: A Mirleesian Approach to Capital Accumulation
Ali Shourideh (University of Minnesota)
Optimal Taxation: Merging Micro and Macro Approaches
Mikhail Golosov (Yale University)
Maxim Troshkin (University of Minnesota)
Aleh Tsyvinski (Yale University)
Discussants:
Matthew C Weinzierl (Harvard Business School)
Florian Scheuer (Stanford University)
Borys Grochulski (Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond)
Jan 06, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Field
Family Networks in Developing Countries (O1)
Presiding: Matthew O. Jackson (Stanford University)
Marriage Networks, Nepotism and Labor Market Outcomes in China
Shing-Yi Wang (New York University)
The Costs and Benefits of Cousin Marriage
Erica Field (Harvard University)
Seema Jayachandran (Northwestern University)
Risk and Return in Village Economies
Krislert Samphantharak (University of California-San Diego)
Robert M. Townsend (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Networks, Finance, and Development: Evidence from Hunter-Gatherers
Farzad Saidi (New York University)
Discussants:
Andrew Dudley Foster (Brown University)
Christopher Udry (Yale University)
Giacomo De Giorgi (Stanford University)
Cynthia Georgia Kinnan (Northwestern University)
Jan 06, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Dusable
Financial Innovation (G1)
Presiding: Joshua Lerner (Harvard University)
Speculation and Risk Sharing with New Financial Assets
Alp Simsek (Harvard University)
Innovations, Renta and Risk
Jean Charles Rochet (University of Zurich)
A Model of Shadow Banking
Nicola Gennaioli (CREI-Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona)
Collateral-Motivated Financial Innovation
Ji Shen (Yale University)
Hongjun Yan (Yale University)
Jinfan Zhang (Yale University)
Discussants:
Snehal Banerjee (Northwestern University)
Zhiguo He (University of Chicago)
Robert Marquez (Boston University)
Adriano A Rampini (Duke University)
Jan 06, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, McCormick
Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Finance: The Role of Households (E3)
Presiding: Amir Sufi (University of Chicago)
Debt, Deleveraging, and the Liquidity Trap
Gauti B. Eggertsson (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Credit Crises, Precautionary Savings and the Liquidity Trap
Veronica Guerrieri (University of Chicago)
Guido Lorenzoni (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Household Leverage and the Recession
Virgiliu Midrigan (New York University)
Thomas Philippon (New York University)
Discussants:
Robert E. Hall (Hoover Institution, Stanford University)
Jan 06, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Ogden
Reputation and Contracts (D8)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Implementation with Honest Players: A Rationale for Simple Contracts
Richard Holden (University of Chicago)
Navin Kartik (Columbia University)
Olivier Tercieux (Paris School of Economics)
Progressive Screening: Long-Term Contracting with a Privately Known Stochastic Process
Raphael Boleslavsky (University of Miami)
Maher Said (Washington University in St. Louis)
Bill Shock: Inattention and Price-Posting Regulation
Michael D. Grubb (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
What Shapes Reputation?
Heski Bar-Isaac (New York University)
Joyee Deb (New York University)
Discussants:
Alessandro Bonatti (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Juuso Toikka (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Ned Augenblick (University of California-Berkeley)
David A. Miller (University of California-San Diego)
Jan 06, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Wright
Selection and Moral Hazard in Health Insurance (I1)
Presiding: Amy Finkelstein (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Selection on Moral Hazard in Health Insurance
Liran Einav (Stanford University)
Amy Finkelstein (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Stephen Ryan (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Paul Schrimpf (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Estimating the Tradeoff Between Risk Protection and Moral Hazard with a Nonlinear Budget Set Model of Health Insurance
Amanda Ellen Kowalski (Economics Yale University)
Adverse Selection and Switching Costs in Health Insurance Markets: When Nudging Hurts
Benjamin R. Handel (University of California-Berkeley)
Discussants:
Katherine Ho (Columbia University)
Hanming Fang (University of Pennsylvania)
Neale Mahoney (Stanford University)
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Jan 07, 2012
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Jan 07, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Dusable
Econometrics of High Frequency Financial Data (C5)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Realized Laplace Transforms for Estimation of Jump Diffusive Volatility Models
Viktor Todorov (Northwestern University)
Fact or friction: Jumps at Ultra High Frequency
Kim Christensen (CREATES, University of Aarhus)
The Estimation of Leverage e?ect with High Frequency Data
Dan Christina Wang (University of Chicago)
Per Aslak Mykland (University of Chicago)
Identifying the Successive Blumental-Getoor Indices of a Discretely Observed Process
Yacine Ait-Sahalia (Princeton University)
Jean M Jacod (Universite P. et M. Curie (Paris-6))
Jan 07, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Addams
Inference in Non-Standard Problems (C1)
Presiding: Matias Cattaneo (University of Michigan)
Generalized Jackknife Estimators of Weighted Average Derivatives
Matias Damian Cattaneo (University of Michigan)
Richard Kingsley Crump (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Michael Jansson (University of California-Berkeley)
Contributions to the Theory of Similar Tests
Humberto Moreira (EPGE Getulio Vargas Foundation)
Marcelo J. Moreira (Columbia University)
Semiparametric Estimation with Generated Covariates
Enno Mammen (University of Mannheim)
Christoph Sebastian Rothe (Toulouse School of Economics)
Melanie Schienle (Humboldt University)
Out-of-Sample Comparisons of Overfit Models
Gray Calhoun (Iowa State University)
Discussants:
Christoph Sebastian Rothe (Toulouse School of Economics)
Gray Calhoun (Iowa State University)
Matias Damian Cattaneo (University of Michigan)
Humberto Moreira (EPGE Getulio Vargas Foundation)
Jan 07, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Skyway 260
Innovation and Economic Growth (O4)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Back to Basics: Private and Public Investment in Basic R&D and Macroeconomic Growth
Ufuk Akcigit (University of Pennsylvania)
Identifying Technology Spillovers and Product Market Rivalry
John Michael Van Reenen (London School of Economics)
Skill Composition, Outsourcing, and the Direction of Innovation
Philippe Aghion (Harvard University)
Pol Antras (Harvard University)
Diego Comin (Harvard Business School)
Knowledge Linkages and Multi-Sector Firm Innovations
April Jie Cai (University of New South Wales)
Nan Li (Ohio State University)
Jan 07, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Regency D
Invited Lectures: Behavioral Economics (D0)
Presiding: Jonathan Levin (Stanford University)
Invited Lectures: Behavioral Economics
B. Douglas Bernheim (Stanford University)
Invited Lectures: Behavioral Economics
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
Discussants:
Andrei Shleifer (Harvard University)
Jan 07, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Field
Sovereign Bond Risk (F3)
Presiding: Sergio Rebelo (Northwestern University)
Default and the Maturity Structure in Sovereign Bonds
Cristina Arellano (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis)
Ananth Ramanarayanan (Research Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas)
Systemic Sovereign Credit Risk: Lessons from the U.S. and Europe
Andrew Ang (Columbia University)
Francis A Longstaff (University of California-Los Angeles)
Sovereign Default Risk and Bank Fragility in Financially Integrated Economies
Patrick Bolton (Columbia University)
Olivier Jeanne (John Hopkins University)
Common Factors and Commonality in Sovereign CDS Spreads: A consumption-based explanation
Patrick Augustin (Stockholm School of Economics)
Romeo Tedongap (Stockholm School of Economics)
Discussants:
Mark Aguiar (University of Rochester)
Adrien Verdelhan (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Philipp Schnabl (New York University)
Anna Cieslak (Northwestern University)
Jan 07, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Dusable
Business Cycles, Volatility and Uncertainty (E3)
Presiding: Steven J. Davis (University of Chicago)
Houses as ATMs? Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Hui Chen (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Michael Michaux (University of Southern California)
Nikolai Roussanov (University of Pennsylvania)
Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty
Scott Baker (Stanford University)
Nicholas Bloom (Stanford University)
Steven J. Davis (University of Chicago)
The Cyclicality of Productivity Dispersion
Matthias Kehrig (Northwestern University)
Confidence and the Transmission of Government Spending Shocks
Ruediger Bachmann (University of Michigan)
Jan 07, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Field
Intermediation and Transport Costs in International Trade (F1)
Presiding: Amit Kandelwal (Columbia Business School)
Quality Uncertainty and Intermediation in International Trade
Kunal Dasgupta (University of Toronto)
Jordi Mondria (University of Toronto)
Carry-Along Trade
Andrew B. Bernard (Dartmouth College)
Ilke Van Beveren (Lessius College-KULeuven)
Hylke Vandenbussche (Universite Catholique de Louvain and National Bank of Belgium)
The Tip of the Iceberg: Modeling Trade Costs and Implications for Intra-industry Reallocation
Andreas Moxnes (Dartmouth College)
Alfonso Irarrazabal (University of Oslo)
Luca David Opromolla (Banco de Portugal and UECE)
Estimating Productivity with Multi-product Firms, Pricing Hheterogeneity and the Role of International Trade
Valerie Smeets (Aarhus School of Business)
Frederic Warzynski (Aarhus School of Business)
Discussants:
Robert Christopher Johnson (Dartmouth College)
Stefania Garetto (Boston University)
Marc-Andreas Muendler (University of California-San Diego)
Amit Khandelwal (Columbia Business School)
Jan 07, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Stetson Suite FG
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics Invited Address (C1)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Identification of Peer Effects with Network Data
Guido Imbens (Harvard University)
Discussants:
Yann Bramoulle (Laval University)
Jan 07, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Addams
Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Frictions (E3)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
A World Macro Saving Fact and an Explanation
Ray C. Fair (Yale University)
On the Individual Optimality of Economic Integration
Rui L. Castro (University of Montreal)
Selection and Monetary Non-Neutrality in Time-Dependent Pricing Models
Carlos Viana de Carvalho (PUC-Rio)
Felipe Schwartzman (Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond)
Bubbles and Credit Constraints
Jianjun Miao (Boston University)
Pengfei Wang (Hong Kong University of Science and Tech)
Jan 07, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, McCormick
Productivity of Firms and Workers in Developing Countries (O1)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Development Uncorked: Reputation Acquisition in the New Markets for Chilean Wines in the UK
Rocco Macchiavello (Warwick University)
Ownership Structure and Economic Outcomes: The Case of Sugarcane Mills in India
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
Sandip Sukhtankar (Dartmouth College)
Do Employees Slack-Off When Working from Home: A Randomized Experiment on Chinese Workers
Nick Bloom (Stanford University)
James Liang (Stanford University)
John D. Roberts (Stanford University)
Jenny Ying (Stanford University)
Structural vs. Experimental Estimates of the Return to Capital in Microenterprises
Daniel Eben Keniston (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Discussants:
Marianne Bertrand (University of Chicago)
Ulrike Malmendier (University of California-Berleley)
Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak (Yale University)
Aviv Nevo (Northwestern University)
Jan 07, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Addams
Bilateral Contracting (D8)
Presiding: Pierre Dubois (Toulouse School of Economics)
Vertical Integration in Multichannel Television
Gregory Crawford (University of Warwick)
Robin S. Lee (New York University)
michael whinston (Northwestern University)
Ali Yurukoglu (Stanford University)
Markov-Perfect Network Formation: An Applied Framework for Bilateral Oligopoly and Bargaining in Buyer-Seller Networks
Kyna Fong (Economics Stanford University)
Robin S. Lee (Economics Stern School of Business, New York Unive)
Non Linear Contracting and Endogenous Buyer Power between Manufacturers and Retailers: Empirical Evidence on Food Retailing in France
Celine Bonnet (Universite de Toulouse)
Pierre Dubois (Toulouse School of Economics)
Jan 07, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Dusable
Economic Growth (O4)
Presiding: John Seater (North Carolina State University)
The History Augmented Solow model
Carl-Johan Dalgaard (University of Copenhagen)
Growth on a Finite Planet
Pietro Francesco Peretto (Duke University)
Rethinking Directed Technical Change with Endogenous Market Structure
Lei (Jane) Ji (European University Institute)
The Classical Model of Growth and Technological Change
Michele Boldrin (Washington University in St Louis)
David K Levine (Washington University in St Louis)
Discussants:
Charles I. Jones (Stanford University)
Scott Taylor (University of Calgary)
Daron Acemoglu (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Guido Cozzi (University of Durham)
Jan 07, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Field
Liquidity and Financial Crises (G0)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Collateral Crises
Gary B. Gorton (Yale University)
Guillermo L Ordonez (Yale University)
Crises in Repo Markets with Adverse Selection
Harald Uhlig (University of Chicago)
Liquidity Constraints and the Threat of Fraudulent Assets
Yiting NA Li (National Taiwan University)
Guillaume G. Rocheteau (University of California-Irvine)
Pierre-Olivier Weill (University of California-Los Angeles)
Dynamic Adverse Selection: A Theory of Illiquidity, Fire Sales, and Flight to Quality
Veronica Guerrieri (University of Chicago)
Robert Shimer (University of Chicago)
Inefficient Provision of Inside Money
Oliver D. Hart (Harvard University)
Luigi Zingales (University of Chicago)
Jan 07, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, McCormick
Network Models: Identification and Estimation (C1)
Presiding: Francesca Molinari (Cornell University)
A New Class of Estimable Network Models
Arun Gautham Chandrasekhar (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Matthew O. Jackson (Stanford University)
An Empirical Model for Strategic Network Formation
Guido Imbens (Harvard University)
Linear Social Network Models
Lawrence Blume (Cornell University)
William Brock (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Steven Durlauf (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Rajshri Jayaraman (ESMT)
Discussants:
Lawrence Blume (Cornell University)
Elie Tamer (Northwestern University)
Charles F. Manski (Northwestern University)
Jan 07, 2012 2:30 pm, Hyatt Regency, Wright
Revealed Preferences: Modeling and Inference (C1)
Presiding: Richard Blundell (University College London)
Noncooperative household consumption with caring
Laurens Cherchye (CentER, Tilburg University and University of Leuven)
Thomas Demuynck (Katholieke Universiteit Leuven)
Bram De Rock (ECARES, Universite Libre de Bruxelles)
Distribution-Free Testing of Random Utility Models
Yuichi Kitamura (Yale University)
Joerg Stoye (Cornell University)
Multiple Goods, Multiple Tastes and Revealed Preference
Richard Blundell (University College London)
Dennis Kristensen (Columbia University)
Rosa Liliana Matzkin (University of California-Los Angeles)
Discussants:
Ian Crawford (Oxford University)
Rosa Liliana Matzkin (University of California-Los Angeles)
Yuichi Kitamura (Yale University)
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Jan 08, 2012
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Jan 08, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Dusable
Advances in International Trade (F1)
Presiding: Gene Grossman (Princeton University)
Importing Skill-Biased Technology
Ariel Burstein (University of California-Los Angeles)
Jonathan Vogel (Columbia University)
Javier Cravino (University of California-Los Angeles)
Intertemporal Trade Policy
Arnaud Costinot (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Guido Lorenzoni (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Ivan Werning (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
The Impact of Trade on Organization and Productivity
Lorenzo Caliendo (University of Chicago)
Esteban Rossi-Hansberg (Princeton University)
A Linder Hypothesis for Foreign Direct Investment
Pablo Fajgelbaum (University of California-Los Angeles)
Gene M. Grossman (Princeton University)
Elhanan Helpman (Harvard University)
Discussants:
Stephen Ross Yeaple (Pennsylvania State University)
Robert W. Staiger (Stanford University)
Samuel Kortum (University of Chicago)
Costas Arkolakis (Yale University)
Jan 08, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Field
Applications of the Synthetic Control Method (C2)
Presiding: Caroline Hoxby (Harvard University)
The Value of Political Connections in the United States
Daron Acemoglu (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Simon Johnson (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Amir Kermani (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Todd Mitton (Brigham Young University)
Catastrophic Natural Disasters and Economic Growth
Eduardo A. Cavallo (Inter-American Development Bank)
Sebastian Galiani (Washington University in St Louis)
Ilan Noy (University of Hawaii)
Juan Pantano (Washington University in St. Louis)
The Economic Consequences of Organized Crime: Evidence from Southern Italy
Paolo Pinotti (Bocconi University)
Emissions Targets and Domestic Actions: Dead End or Last Resort?
Christian Almer (University of Bern)
Ralph Winkler (University of Bern)
Discussants:
Caroline Hoxby (Harvard University)
Edward Miguel (University of California-Berkeley)
Alberto Abadie (Harvard University)
Michael Greenstone (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Jan 08, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Addams
Inference in Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models (C0)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Maximum Likelihood Inference in Weakly Identified DSGE Models
Isaiah Andrews (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Anna Mikusheva (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Inference and Specification Testing in DSGE Models with Possible Weak Identification
Zhongjun Qu (Boston University)
Estimating Dynamic Equilibrium Models using Macro and Financial Data
Bent Jesper Christensen (Aarhus University)
Olaf Posch (Aarhus University)
Michel van der Wel (Erasmus University Rotterdam)
Measuring Prior Sensitivity and Prior Informativeness in Large Bayesian Models
Ulrich K. Mueller (Princeton University)
Jan 08, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Wright
Modeling Incomplete Information Games (C7)
Presiding: Xavier Vives (IESE Business School)
Limited Records and Reputation
Qingmin Liu (Columbia University)
A Robustly Efficient Auction and Informational Size
Kyungmin Kim (University of Iowa)
Antonio Penta (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Common Value Auctions with Bidder Solicitation
Stephan Lauermann (University of Michigan)
A Large-Market Rational Expectations Equilibrium Model
Xavier Vives (IESE Business School)
Jan 08, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, McCormick
Trade, FDI and recessions (F3)
Presiding: Peter Schott (Yale University)
Productivity versus Competition Effects of Foreign Investment Within and Across Countries
Christian Fons-Rosen (Universitat Pompeu Fabra)
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan (University of Houston)
Bent E. Sorensen (University of Houston)
Carolina Villegas-Sanchez (University of Houston)
Vadym Volosovych (Erasmus University Rotterdam)
International Competition and Industrial Evolution: Evidence from the Impact of Chinese Competition on Mexican Maquiladoras
Hale Utar (University of Colorado-Boulder)
The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment During the 2001 Recession
Peter K Schott (Economics Yale School of Management)
The Role of Inventories and Speculative Trading in the Global Market for Crude Oil
Lutz Kilian (University of Michigan)
Daniel Patrick Murphy (University of Michigan)
Jan 08, 2012 8:00 am, Hyatt Regency, Burnham
Unemployment Insurance Over the Business Cycle (J6)
Presiding: Raj Chetty (Harvard University)
Should Unemployment Vary with the Business Cycle? Theory and Evidence
Kory Kroft (Yale University)
Matthew J Notowidigdo (University of Chicago)
The Effect of Extended Unemployment Insurance Over the Business Cycle: Evidence from Regression Discontinuity Estimates over Twenty Years
Johannes Friedrich Schmieder (Boston University)
Till von Wachter (Columbia University)
Unemployment Insurance and Job Search in the Great Recession
Jesse Rothstein (University of California-Berkeley)
Discussants:
Raj Chetty (Harvard University)
Jan 08, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Buckingham
Bonds and CDS Markets (G1)
Presiding: Pierre Collin-Dufresne (Columbia University)
An Empirical Decomposition of Risk and Liquidity in Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Government Bonds
Carolin Pflueger (Harvard Business School)
Luis M. Viceira (Harvard Business School)
Positioning in the CDS Market: Evidence from the DTCC Data
Martin Oehmke (Columbia University)
Adam Zawadowski (Boston University)
Bond Variance Risk Premia
Philippe Mueller (London School of Economics)
Andrea Vedolin (London School of Economics)
Yu-min Yen (London School of Economics)
Discussants:
Michael Fleming (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Rene Stulz (Ohio State University)
Torben Andersen (Northwestern University)
Jan 08, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Wrigley
Economics of Internet Markets (L1)
Presiding: Jonathan Levin (Stanford University)
Multidimensional Heterogeneity and Platform Design
Andre Filipe Veiga (Toulouse School of Economics)
Eric Glen Weyl (Univerity of Chicago)
Price Discrimination in Many-to-Many Matching Markets
Renato Dias Gomes (Northwestern University)
Alessandro Pavan (Northwestern University)
How Do Advertising Standards Affect Online Advertising?
Avi Goldfarb (University of Toronto)
Catherine Tucker (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
The Life Cycle of Users on Internet Platforms
Liran Einav (Stanford University)
Theresa Kuchler (Stanford University)
Jonathan Levin (Stanford University)
Neel Sundaresan (eBay Research)
Discussants:
Preston McAfee (Research Yahoo!)
Jonathan Baker (American Universityi)
Jan 08, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Dusable
Environment and Development (O4)
Presiding: Seema Jayachandran (Northwestern University)
The Political Economy of Deforestation in the Tropics
Robin Burgess (London School of Economics)
Benjamin A. Olken (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Arsenic Contamination, Nutrition and Economic Growth in Bangladesh
Mark M. Pitt (Brown University)
Mark Rosenzweig (Yale University)
The Long-Run Impact of Air Pollution on Life Expectancy: Evidence from China�s Huai River Policy
Yuyu Chen (Peking University)
Avraham Yehuda Ebenstein (Hebrew University of Jerusalem)
Michael Greenstone (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Hongbin Li (Tsinghua University)
Discussants:
Sriniketh Nagavarapu (Brown University)
Pascaline Dupas (University of California-Los Angeles)
Paulina Oliva (University of California-Santa Barbara)
Jan 08, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Field
Foundational Issues in Game Theory (C7)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
A Structure Theorem for Rationalizability in infinite-horizon games
Jonathan Lewis Weinstein (Northwestern University)
Muhamet Yildiz (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Common Certainty of Rationality Revisited
Stephen Morris (Princeton University)
Satoru Takahashi (Princeton University)
A New Approach to the of Study Games with Incomplete Information
Luciano Irineu de Castro (Northwestern University)
Correlated Equilibrium in Games of Incomplete Information
Dirk Bergemann (Yale University)
Stephen Morris (Princeton University)
Discussants:
Antonio Penta (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Amanda Friedenberg (Arizona State University)
Paulo Barelli (University of Rochester)
Eran Shmaya (Northwestern University)
Jan 08, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, McCormick
Network Games (D8)
Presiding: David Miller (University of California-San Diego)
Intermediation and Strategic Default
Itay Perah Fainmesser (Brown University)
Jacob Dov Leshno (Harvard University)
Cooperation with Local Monitoring
Francesco Nava (London School of Economics)
Michele Piccione (London School of Economics)
Ostracism
S. Nageeb Ali (University of California-San Diego)
David A. Miller (University of California-San Diego)
Bilateral Trading in Networks
Daniele Condorelli (University of Essex)
Andrea Galeotti (University of Essex)
Treasure Hunt
Markus Mobius (Harvard University)
Adam Szeidl (University of California-Berkeley)
Jan 08, 2012 10:15 am, Hyatt Regency, Addams
Partial Identification: Inference and Applications (C2)
Presiding: Francesca Molinari (Cornell University)
Asymptotically Efficient Estimation of Models Defined by Convex Moment Inequalities
Hiroaki Kaido (Boston University)
Andres Santos (University of California-San Diego)
Policy Choice and Partial Identification
Maximilian Kasy (University of California-Los Angeles)
Computational Methods for Partially Identified Models
Haim Bar (Statistics Cornell University)
Francesca Molinari (Economics Cornell)
Testing for the Degree of Commitment via Set-Identification
Laura Coroneo (University of Manchester)
Valentina Corradi (University of Warwick)
Paulo Santos Monteiro (University of Warwick)
Discussants:
Whitney K. Newey (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Joerg Stoye (Cornell University)
Hiroaki Kaido (Boston University)
Karel Mertens (Cornell University)
Jan 08, 2012 1:00 pm, Hyatt Regency, Dusable
Credit Frictions (E5)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Credit Risk and Business Cycles
Pengfei Wang (Hong Kong University of Science and Tech)
Precautionary Saving over the Business Cycle
Edouard Challe (Ecole Polytechnique)
Xavier Ragot (Banque de France)
The Optimum Quantity of Money with Borrowing Constraints
Francesco Lippi (University of Sassari)
Nicholas Trachter (EIEF)
Endogenous Credit Cycles
Chao Gu (University of Missouri)
Randall Wright (University of Wisconsin)
Jan 08, 2012 1:00 pm, Hyatt Regency, Field
Empirical Evidence on Political Contributions and Connections (D7)
Presiding: Suresh Naidu (Columbia University)
Evidence of Strategic Lobbying in the US House of Representatives
Carlos R. Lever (Banco de Mexico)
Politicians and Directors in Social Networks: Regression Discontinuity Design Evidence from Close Elections
Quoc-Anh Do (Singapore Management University)
Yen Teik Lee (Singapore Management University)
Bang Dang Nguyen (University of Cambridge)
Kieu Trang Nguyen (Grinnell College)
Money in Judicial Politics: Do Campaign Contributions lead to Worse Judging?
Matias Iaryczower (Princeton University)
Matthew Shum (CalTech)
Discussants:
Filipe Campante (Harvard University)
Erik Snowberg (California Institute of Technology)
Suresh Naidu (Columbia University)
Jan 08, 2012 1:00 pm, Hyatt Regency, McCormick
Games with Communication (C7)
Presiding: Rakesh Vohra (Northwestern University)
A Folk Theorem with Private Strategies
David Rahman (University of Minnesota)
Price Discrimination Through Communication
Itai Sher (University of Minnesota)
Rakesh Vohra (Northwestern University)
Communication in Cournot Oligopoly
Maria Goltsman (University of Western Ontario)
Gregory Pavlov (University of Western Ontario)
Effective Persuasion
Ying Chen (Arizona State University)
Wojciech Olszewski (Northwestern University)
Jan 08, 2012 1:00 pm, Hyatt Regency, Burnham
Network Models: Theory and Estimation (C1)
Presiding: Francesca Molinari (Cornell University)
Skill Specialization and the Formation of Collaboration Networks
Katharine A. Anderson (Carnegie Mellon University)
Heterogeneity and Learning in Social Networks
Daron Acemoglu (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Ilan Lobel (New York University)
Asuman Ozdaglar (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
A Structural Model of Segregation in Social Networks
Angelo Mele (University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign)
Inference Approaches with Network Data
Aureo de Paula (University of Pennsylvania)
Seth Richards-Shubik (Carnegie Mellon University)
Elie Tamer (Northwestern University)
Discussants:
Yann Bramoulle (Laval University)
Aaron Bodoh-Creed (Cornell University)
Aureo de Paula (University of Pennsylvania)
Robin S. Lee (New York University)
Jan 08, 2012 1:00 pm, Hyatt Regency, Addams
Search and Learning (D8)
Presiding: -- TBD ()
Efficient Learning, Search Frictions and Aggregate Consequences
Fei Li (University of Pennsylvania)
Search and Context-Dependent Preferences
Collin Raymond (University of Michigan)
Cheap Talk in Market Games: Insights into the Non-essentiality of Commitment in Directed Search
Kyungmin Kim (University of Iowa)
Philipp Kircher (London School of Economics)
Learning and Price Discovery in a Search Model
Stephan Lauermann (University of Michigan)
Gabor Virag (University of Rochester)
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