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May 1981 - Volume 49 Issue 3 Page 753 - 779


p.753


Testing For Unit Roots: 1

G. B. A. Evans
N. E. Savin

Abstract

This paper investigates the distribution of the least squares estimator of the coefficient @a in the model @c"t = @a@c"t -"1 + @?"t where the @?"t where the @?"t are independently distributed N (O, @s^2). The exact finite sample and limiting distributions are calculated when @a @> 1 and finite sample distributions when @? < 1. These distributions are used to compute the power functions of tests of the random walk hypothesis @a = 1 as well as the hypotheses.

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